End of an Era

With the news of Sunday night's trade, the CC Sabathia era in Cleveland has officially come to an end.  The Tribe's former ace has been all but gone from NE Ohio since early 2008 when contract renegotiations stalled and CC refused to continue negotiations during the 2008 regular season.  Since the Indians began to slide out of playoff contention in June, the rumors have been flying as to the possible destinations of the reigning Cy Young award winner.  Last week the whispers had the Brewers as the front runners in the CC sweepstakes and today it is official Sabathia is a Brewer.  I have read numerous articles and accounts today about the trade and have, somehow, completely avoided ESPN's coverage of the deal.  

From all I have read regarding the players involved in completing the deal and from the "experts" regarding the deal, I have to say that Milwaukee is much better for the wear here.  We all know by now that Matt LaPorta a 1B from the University of Florida that was the 7th overall pick of the 2007 draft is the headliner in this deal for the Indians.  Every source I have found explains LaPorta a huge bat that should be ready by next season to play in Cleveland.  He currently plays in the OF, but is more than likely to move to 1B it appears.  As far as I can see LaPorta should be a mainstay in he Indians lineup for next decade or so, but beyond that I still have a major problem with this marquee prospect anchoring this trade.  My qualms come down to this, LaPorta is not overly athletic or adept with the glove.  I see him as yet another 1B/DH to pair with Vic, Pronk, Beau Mills, and Garko in the Indians system.  I see no reason to continue stockpiling these types of players are there are really only 2 or 3 spots in the lineup for these 5 guys who are all likely to compete for playing time in 2009.  Again, don't get me wrong LaPorta has every chance to be a great Major Leaguer, but I can't help but be annoyed by the Indians' void of defense, versatility, and sheer lack of athleticism.  

The rest of the deal includes AAA SP Zach Jackson, A RP Rob Bryson and a ptnl.  As for Jackson, although he was a first round pick in 2004, he has certainly not lived up to expectations and is beginning to age as he will 26 not too long into the 2009 campaign.  While I am not saying that a 26 year old is washed up, but the odds are not in his favor to contribute to the Indians if he gets much older than that in the minors.  He was a throw-in in a deal with the Blue Jays that involved Lyle Overbay 1B and Dave Bush SP in 2005 and has done next to nothing to impress since.  This season Jackson has an era up near 8 in nearly 60 innings of work.  

Bryson on the other hand looks to be another integral part of this deal.  From some accounts it looks as though Bryson has what it takes to become a ML closer, but it may take a while.  At only 20 years old and playing in low A currently, Bryson's raw power and stuff see to be a few years off.  Now while the Tribe is in desperate need of a closer, it seems to me that Adam Miller is a more advanced and much more viable long term option than Bryson who is simply a projection at this point.  

The final player in the deal has been rumored to be numerous players and most reports commit to A 3B Taylor Green.  Green is another play that not too much is known about and although he plays a current position of need, the fact is that by the time he would be ready for the ML, around 3 years, a player like Wes Hodges is likely to have taken this starting role.  

Now that I have dissected the deal I would like to look at it as a whole just one more time.  By dealing a player of CC's caliber the Indians should have been able to get a package that included at least one player, more likely 2, who are ML ready and fill am immediate need.  To me this would be a complete player a 2B or 3B and/or a closer type RP.  While although I realize that times change and a players value is always different when compared to similar trades involving aces, the Indians got considerably less utility in this deal than they could.  However, this is not to say that the deal is bad or useless, and only time will tell with regard to this trade.  It will be interesting to see if the Tribe are contenders again in 2009 and whether or not the "firesale" in Cleveland is for real...

His last request has now been included, "no more periods please"

Draft Recap

After I heard that the Nets and Bucks had put together a deal sending Yi to New Jersey and RJ to Milwaukee I began to get excited.  Yi was the reason Varejao wouldn't accept a trade to the Bucks.  FIrst because they play the same position and would compete for minutes and second because his agent Dan Fegan represents them both.  Also, with the addition of RJ it seemed that perhaps Redd was able to be moved with less of an immediate impact on the roster.  Although it now seems as if the Bucks could be keeping that expensive pair intact in hopes of competing in next year's East.  Once the draft got going and passed deep into the lottery the hopes of the Cavs moving their pick began to dwindle.  With JJ Hickson's name being called at 19 I was immediately curious.  While I had heard of Hickson and had seen him play, being a huge UNC and ACC fan, I didn't really know too much about him as an NBA prospect.  I understand the choice as it adds depth and youth the Cavs elderly frontline, but to me it does not appear that the pick will make a noticeable difference for 2 or 3 years.  The Cavs were also able to add two second round picks.  When I originally heard this I was hoping at least one of them was CDR or Bill Walker each of which are legitimate first round talents.  Of course they weren't, but instead Ferry had managed to obtain Darnell Jackson and Sasha Kaun from Kansas.  Again these additions are understandable as the Cavs frontline has only a couple years left, but still I do not see a whole lot of potential in either of these picks.  Now I have read a couple of articles this morning that say they are satisfied with the picks and excited to add much needed youth in the frontcourt.  This is usually followed with a comment that resembles 'the Cavs cannot live in constant fear of LeBron and must take the player that makes most sense now and in the future.'  In response to this sort of comment I have this to say.  How is it being fearful of LeBron to realize that the only legitimate chance that the city of Cleveland has had to win a sports championship in the past decade is for the Cavs right this very instant.  The future is now and if that sort of attitude isn't embraced by the Cavs front office LeBron will leave to "greener" pastures without first winning at least one NBA title in Cleveland.  To me this has nothing to do with being afraid of LeBron, but possibly being afraid of losing the only opportunity the Cavs could ever have at winning a World title.  

In other news William Scott, my top ranked player from Team One's South showcase in Atlanta, GA last July, was drafted in this year's June draft by the Colorado Rockies in the 32nd round.  

Match Made in Heaven

Well David Stern's wish is well perhaps Dick Bavetta's command.  After a grueling month of playoff action the Lakers and Celtics have begun the 2008 NBA Finals.  Now while I am not saying that these two teams do not deserve to be here, as both are two of the best teams in the game today.  However, what annoys me is the drama "manufactured" around the Celtics run to the finals.  In fact, it hasn't been since the 1987 Lakers won it all that a team had more than 8 playoff losses on the way to the championship.  Seems fitting right, the Celtics avenge their 1987 loss to the Lakers with a remarkable playoff run that saw the  Celtics potentially lose the most games for an NBA champion since that 1987 season.  This is what annoys me exactly.  That sounded stupid didn't it.  Right, who cares that the Lakers were last team to lose more than the 8 games already lost in the playoffs by the Celtics and still win it all?  For that matter who cares that the Andrew Bynum was not even born when the Lakers and Celtics last played in the Finals.  To me this is a failed attempt by the NBA to drum up extra excitement about the series.  Don't get me wrong I am sure that Lakers and Celtics fans the world over care passionately about this rivalry, but my point is that Cavs, Spurs, and casual NBA fans do not.  My second issue with this years playoffs gets back to my original point about the drama and suspense set up around the Cs.  So when was the last time the team with the best regular season record was a "surprise" to get to the finals.  It seems like every step of the way the Celtics have been made out to be an underdog or at least a shaky favorite.  Whether it was the excitement that the Hawks could knock them off or the expectations for the Pistons to send them home.  To me it seems a combination between officiating and pr that has created all of this.  The pr is obvious with ESPN running 24/7 creating the sports opinions of many viewers.  Further, much has been made about the drastic differences between home and road games in this years playoffs.  The easiest explanation is the manner of the officials with regard to the home team.  Anyway, the Celtics have won the first two games in a somewhat convincing fashion so it will be interesting to see how the series turns when they head back to LA.  With the Celtic's playoff road record as it is this season along with Pierce's knee injury this series could have just begun....

I will update tomorrow with Indians and Cavs reports and continue to post constantly with new content.  

For now I will lead you with this quote from LeBron James " Besides, dude's fakin' "

State of Cleveland sports at the dawn of summer

Wow, it has been quite some time since my last post! As far as Cleveland sports are concerned only the Browns stock has risen over the last few months. The Tribe has let a monumental collapse dictate a sub-.500 first 50 games in 2008 and look as if they could be in danger of not making the playoffs. Now while it is certainly still early the team is having a tremendously difficult time scoring runs and would be in the absolute cellar had it not been for stellar starting pitching some of which from unlikely sources like Cliff Lee and Aaron Laffey. Ironic how a team built for offense with designated hitters at the majority of the nine spots in the order. I mean who would argue that Ryan Garko, Vic Martinez, David Dellucci, and Jhonny Peralta really were not built to play the field with too much success. I understand that there are different styles and philosophies as far as putting a team together goes, but obviously this is one that I am at odds with.
As far as I can see the team has two choices at this fork in the road. First, they can deal a guy Adam Miller, Aaron Laffey, or Jeremy Sowers in exchange for a right handed power bat preferably for LF or they could change the structure of the team and deal a player like Ryan Garko or Travis Hafner for another elite arm in the back of the pen and change the style of the team's play. In the former proposal the Tribe would be able to add the offense for today that matched with the current pitching staff will likely send the team to the top of the division. This, however, could be too nearsighted as it could cost the Indians a future 1-2 starter and leave the team without any real improvement other than an even more crowded outfield. The latter path would cause the team to have to bite the bullet and make a potentially lopsided deal that would send one of the team's "sluggers" likely to an AL rival in exchange for a potentially risky RP. To me this is still the safest bet. Remember it was only Einar Diaz that netted Hafner. Not that that matters much, but I figured I'd bring it up anyway. The risk is worth it for two key reasons. First, it allows the team to use its surplus, non-fielding hitters, to fill a deficiency, another go to RP. Second, there really isn't any risk. If the deal does not work out the Indians are no worse for the wear as the simply dealt an over hyped "slugger" that has likely run his course with the team in either case. Plus the team would have more defined roles and the teams pitching could benefit GREATLY from the increased defense.
In any event the real changes that need to be made can be done from within. To me it is imperative for this team to win to move Peralta to 3B, Cabrera to SS and have Barfield and Carroll split time at 2B. Garko could still play first, if he was around, but he would split time here with Vic. When Vic wasn't at first he could DH. This leaves Shoppach as the everyday C. In the outfield I see Choo and Gutz to the right of Sizemore and Blake and Fransisco to his left. Fransisco could also DH when he wasn't in the field. This would leave Dellucci and Marte out of the mix. Marte could potentially be useful trade bait for another arm or even just simply a prospect. Dellucci, however, would likely be relegated to the bench for good. This lineup possesses no less offense than before and in fact could be better built to score runs with Vic out from behind the plate and Barfield toward the top of the order. While I am at it, it seems important to mention that Grady is NOT, I repeat NOT, a leadoff hitter. In fact, I see him more as a number three kinda guy with the high average and combination of power and speed. While it might not work out straight away, I don't see why Cabrera and Barfield wouldn't make an effective 1-2 punch. Cabrera is athletic, patient, and could with the bat. While he hasn't hit for a ton of average this season, he has in the past and is just getting settled into the everyday ML routine. As far as Barfield, while he does strike out a TON, I think the organization has not given his speed and defense enough of an opportunity. His bat control and speed could be just what the Indians needed as far as a jump start to the offense. From here the lineup would be very similar as before say, Sizemore, Vic, and Garko 3-4-5 and then Peralta, Fransisco/Blake, and Shoppach 6-7-8 with Gutz/Choo in the 9 spot. This adds table setters to the front of the lineup as it is useless to have guys who can drive in runs if there isn't any one to drive home.

WHEW! I'm glad thats over with...

Then there are my Cavs. Midway through the season, with the team struggling to stay above .500 I was expecting the team to simply make the playoffs and maybe advance past the first round. Once I heard about the trade I was initially skeptical and then excited. The skeptical did not come from losses of Drew "Notso" Gooden, Donyell, Newble, Brown, and especially not Laura Hughes. But it came from the fact that the trade was not exactly what I was expecting. I was expected one of two things. Either Ferry would pass on the options available to him at the deadline or he would land the allstar that Cavs needed to be featured alongside LeBron to really make a run at winning it all. There had been rumors all year about adding the likes of Mike Bibby or Jason Kidd. I even heard a rumor of sending Varejao to the Suns in exchange for a player like Raja Bell or Barbosa, before they pulled the trigger for Shaq. It also came from the idea of adding 3 players significantly past their prime in Wallace, Smith, and Scissorback and a enigmatic point guard in West. As I continued to think about the trade it seemed to shore out our need for rebounding and low post defense. It also netted us a point guard who might be able to make LeBron an off the ball type of player. And beyond all that we got the proverbial sharp shooter that every Cleveland fan had been begging for to play with LBJ. The team was shaky at first after the deal, but seemed to be putting it together just at the right time. After spots of brilliance and of outright bad, the Cavs made it right where I hoped they would into the second round of the playoffs. After being eliminated by the Celtics in 7 games I still have a favorable outlook on both the trade and the team. As far as the trade is concerned, I mean what can I say. Ferry went and made what seems to have been the best possible deal for this team and had Gibson not gotten hurt who knows where the Cavs would be right now.
I have read a couple of articles that chronicle the Cavs past failures since acquiring King James. But I feel it is important to mention two important things. First, whats done is done! Passing on players like Amare Stoudamire and Al Harrington for Desagana Diop and Dejuan Wagner and letting Boozer get away cannot be changed and do not affect this team going forward. Second, it is important to realize, and oddly enough most people don't, that LBJ is still a Cleveland Cavalier and will be for the next 2 seasons. The focus should be on putting together a team that can win and win now so that LBJ will be a Cav for the rest of his long, long career. As far as I am concerned the team is in a good position. Most of the pieces are in place. To me the key ingredients that need to be around LeBron are a couple of athletic ball handling outside shooters, i.e. West and Gibson, a strong core of hardworking defensive minded big men, Wallace, Varejao, and Smith, and an allstar jump shooter that has the ability to score and score often in order to allow LBJ EASY access into the lane.
The team is in a much better position now than it was a year ago to simply say we are one player away. The team now has an established point guard in West and a strong supporting cast in paint. Now all that is left is a perimeter scorer to compliment LeBron's unstoppable dominance at the rim. Just so happens that to of the best perimeter players in the Association are likely going to change team this offseason, Gilbert Arenas and Allen Iverson. While both have their issues, Gilbert is currently a Wizard and is also always hurt, and Iverson is just plain OLD, they still possess the potential to be the perfect compliment to the talents of LeBron James. Imagine LeBron had a scorer the likes of Arenas or Iverson to pass to when he is double and triple teamed, guess what he would no longer be double and triple teamed. It has been a long time past, but Iverson led a team no better than the Cavs minus the King to the Finals against the Lakers. Imagine what he could do with a dominant force like LeBron slashing to the basket when he gets attention with the ball 18 feet from the basket. The problem with this is that the Cavs lack the cap room to sign free agents and would be forced to pull off a sign and trade deal for a player like Iverson or Arenas. Meaning players like Pavlovic and Varejao or even the current draft picks would have to go, but at this point the future is irrelevant if the Cavs don't win it all in the next two years as the future Greatest Player of All-Time LeBron James will be headed to greener pastures....

Back to where this all started, the Brownies. After a successful, but playoffless, season the Browns defied all expectations. In spite of having one of the worst defenses in the league the Browns managed to score enough to win 10 games. This offseason the Browns have done nothing to disappoint. By adding to HUGE defensive lineman to fortify Crennel's elusive 3-4 defense the Browns greatly improved the team. Not to mention the offense will get a boost from the speedster Donte Stallworth opposite #1 option Braylon Edwards. With basically everyone else returning including Lacharles Bentley who was injured the past two seasons the Browns look to be better than ever. It will be interesting to see how much of last year's success was due to a weak schedule.
The only negative that I see to the Browns' offseason was the resigning of quarterback Derek Anderson. Even though he had a very successful season at quarterback for the Browns he did it against a subpar schedule. What's more to me Anderson is the same type of QB as Brady Quinn without the huge potential. Both are big, strong, athletic QBs who are built to win with the Browns' offense. It would have been amazing for the Browns' to have tendered Anderson as if any other team would have signed him it would have cost them a first and third round draft pick. This would have rebuilt the draft for the Browns this year and left them in a nearly identical position. However, Anderson was resigned to a three year deal which seems to mean that Brady will remain a highly talented and highly drafted backup for the Browns. All in the All I am excited to the Browns repeat what they did last season and win 9-11 games en route to their second playoff appearance as the New Cleveland Browns.

Well thats all I got, look for many more articles to come, likely on a daily basis.

One last thing, what makes more sense then putting the Venezuelan kid who wheres 13 at SS?

State of Affairs Monday November 12, 2007

A Picture Is Worth a Thousand Words:

The ML general managers recently voted 25-5 in favor of the limited use of instant replay to decide close calls.  Each of these reviewable calls are related to home runs such as whether the ball was fair or foul, whether a fan interfered or whether it hit on the other side of the fence or not.  As far as this goes for those who are interested in seeing more spread use, due to the continual nature of the game and the need for instant and irreversible calls it would be difficult to expand much more than this.  This is why it seems strange to me to go through all of this effort.  Not only are these close calls few and far between they are rarely missed by umpires.  If anything should be questioned in the current game with respect to umpiring it should be balls and strikes.  According to rules of baseball managers aren't allowed to argue balls and strikes.  Even so these constant calls are still a hotbed of debate within almost every single game.  It was most noticeable to me during the playoffs when umpires routinely missed a large percentage of calls by a significant margin.  Yes, most of these games included the team I call my own, but as those whom I watched these games with can attest to, these calls were bad no matter who you root for.  As a side note, the umpires missed these calls regardless of what FoxTrax has to say.  Fox put together that horribly scaled system to make everything look like a bad call in order to incite controversy and keep people watching.  Now with many stadiums already having Questech installed monitoring umpires it would not be a huge stretch to being letting a computerized system call balls and strikes completely.  For those who agree with this proposal more power to you, but I have to say we are few and far between.  Many "purists" that I have spoken to concerning this issue have professed many qualms most nearly adding to "but I don wanna."  However, as a far minded individual I will present and counter a number of arguments against my proposed system.  

First is the idea that this system will erase the dynamic of the unique strike zones between umpires.  This is certainly not the case.  A computer could be programmed with many varying strike zones to mock the zones currently called by ML umpires.  This system would in no way set a strict uniform strike zone for every game until the end of time.  Now you say, if there will be different strike zones, why even use a computer system.  One word: consistency.  The reason that an umpire is bad or is calling a bad game is usually not because he is making bad calls on where the ball is entering the strike zone.  It is usually to do a change within the strike zone and a change in which types of pitches are called strikes and which are not.  Most baseball players and managers would agree that as long as the ump is calling them within reason they can adjust to any strike zone provided it is consistently called that way.  Thus, a computer would allow for a huge increase of consistency within the calling of balls and strikes within the context of a single game.  Next, comes to the malfunctioning of the system.  This would be treated in the same way as if any of the other umpires were to get hurt and not be able to continue.  The backup umpire would be summoned onto the field and the game would proceed just as it does now.  Ironically this argument does not seem to satisfy those against this idea.  Thus, no matter how you slice it a computer system to call the balls and strikes would greatly increase the quality of the game and remove a great deal of doubt and animosity.  So if this is where the game is heading as far as the proposals for limited use of instant replay then I am all in favor, otherwise, perhaps we are wasting out time here.....

State of Affairs Monday October 29, 2007

Where should I begin?:
Ironically the only comfortable and convenient place to watch the final 3 games of the 2007 ALCS was amongst many Redsox fans and a few indifferent bystanders.  As nearly all members of this group agreed when discussing various issues of disparate importance to the game, I began to realize that there must be much truth in our casual musings.  I mean who could deny the validity of a statement agreed upon by fans from Cleveland, Boston, and New York.  These will be studied and expanded throughout the course of the next couple weeks.  Some of the topics include the DH, umpiring, and the talent disparities within the game...

The Redsox WIN!:

First off I'd like to congratulate Boston on another World Series win.  It comes as no surprise that the Sox won the Series and only a slight surprise that the Rockies weren't able to sneak away with a game.  The fact that the talent level of the NL is so far below that of the AL was exhibited this past week.  Just eight days after dismantling basically the best that the NL had, the Rockies were dismantled by basically the best the AL has.  There is no need for further proof that the NL is currently inferior to the AL and this is to a large degree irrelevant, but I will go into that in more detail in the coming days.  Beyond that, the large success of the recent Boston Redsox is in large part due to the efforts of one Theo Epstein.  Epstein has created an unusual model for the development of his teams over the past few years and I intend to define and examine this model in a multipart article in the coming weeks.

Do to a lack of time on my part and a lack of relevance in the world of sports I neglected to post on Saturday and will begin posting only once or twice a week with longer and more independent articles....

State of Affairs Wednesday October 24, 2007

Talk about Parody:
On the eve of a huge BCS matchup between #2 BC and #8 VT let's take at college football's current landscape. In case you have forgotten this college football season has again proved why we play the games. Of the ESPN/USA Today's top ten only 4 teams, LSU, OU, VT, and WVU, are currently in the BCS top ten. Of the teams currently in the BCS top ten, 5 teams, BC, KU, USF, ASU, and Oregon, began this season unranked. We all should have this coming when perennial powerhouse and National Championship contender Michigan lost opening week to 1-AA Appalachian State. Each of the currently undefeated teams have tough roads to remain that way with Kansas and BC having the easiest. ASU and O$U each have teams ranked 2-5 within their respective conferences. With that being said it is almost certain that the season will end without any meaningful undefeated teams. That leaves teams like LSU, Oregon, and VT in the driver's seat along with O$U to duke it out for the right to play for the National Championship. If there has ever been a year where a playoff system of some sort would make sense it would be this one. One of the best teams in the country already has two losses, Florida and the team atop the rankings,O$U has a average rank* of 82. So who knows what this will all look like when the dust settles, but one things is for sure there will be plenty to talk about...

Rockies Sox, World Series '07 Preview:
With game one of the Series to be played tonight in Fenway Park, I thought it appropriate to take at the 2007 World Series, noticeably missing the Tribe. For the Rockies the last month has been a whirl wind ride. Winning 21 of their last 22 games the Rockies surged from the middle of the NL West into the World Series. This momentum will likely have dwindled by the Josh Beckett throws out the first pitch of the Series around 8:20 Eastern. With an 8 day layover since sweeping the Diamondbacks look for the Rockies to be a bit rusty and come back to earth, at least for a game or two. The Redsox have had a much different fate this past month. Having clinched a playoff spot fairly quickly Boston coasted into the playoffs and proceeded to win 4 straight games including a sweep of LAA and a huge game 1 win over the Indians. They lost the next three and were forced to fight for their lives and win three elimination games in a row to claim a place in the Fall Classic. People will say that once a giant such as the Redsox has been awaken they are unstoppable. Since they were tested they are now ready and prepared to take what is rightly theirs namely a World Series, according to some. However, I have been witness to many occasions where the beast hits the snooze and continues to sleep until it is too late. Most notably the Uconn Huskies in the 2006 NCAA tournament. They were given increasing trouble by Albany, Kentucky, and Washington until they finally lost to George Mason in the Elite 8. So, which story will shape the 2007 Series, let's take a deeper look...
On the surface the teams have produced incredibly similarly on the offensive end with just 7 being the separation of runs scored and of points in OPS. Some would argue that the Coors field park factor, and weak NL would cause the Rockies to have inflated numbers here. But with the consideration of the pitcher vs. the DH it seems to me that all these extra factors basically even out and I feel safe in saying that the Sox and Rockies have similar offenses on the average. As far as the other half of the position players, fielding, I also believe the teams are fairly similar. From what I know and have seen of each team, they are both effective defensively and both teams do a very good job in the field across the board. This leaves the last 50% of the game, pitching. The Redsox have a dominant advantage in this respect. The Redsox have today's best big game pitcher, Beckett, and yesterday's best big game pitcher, Schilling, along with one of the game's best bullpens. What about the Rockies you ask, not so much. Its not that the pitching of the Rockies is bad its that it isn't anything. It lacks the experience and frontend quality of the Redsox staff and although some of this can be attributed to Coors, the Sox also pitch must better away from home.
With that being said, let's check out the game by game matchups. Game one features Beckett and the lefty Jeff Francis at Fenway. Boston lead the league in OBP against lefties this season and this will only spell disaster for the Rockies as Boston rarely waists its base runners. This combined with the fact that the game is in Boston, that Colorado hasn't played in a week, and O did I mention that they have to face Josh Beckett, will lead to a 1-0 for the Redsox. Game 2 also in Fenway features Schilling and Ubaldo Jimenez. This is similar to ALCS games two and 6 featuring Schilling and Fausto. With that being said the nod again goes to Boston because of the home field and Jimenez' extreme lack of ML experience (hes only been up since August). Now back in Colorado for game three. This is where the tide will turn. With Boston forced to either leave Papi out of the lineup or have him play 1B and leave off Youkilis, the Rockies will have a chance to steal a game and make this a series. With an ERA over 7 since September 1 and a lack of success on the road at times this season look for the Rockies to capitalize on Daisuke and rely on the lack of DH to aid Josh Fogg's pitching to 2-1 series deficit. Regardless of whether the Rockies can must back-to-back wins and tie the series at 2 after game 4, 2 games will be enough for the Sox to figure out Coors and the NL rules and will go back to Boston with a 3-2 series lead on the back of ace Josh Beckett. The rest is all just a formality as one of the games best playoff pitcher's ever will seal the deal at Fenway in game 6 if they haven't won it already. The Rockies will come close but in the end Boston's superior pitching will be decide the series in favor of the Sox in 6 games.

Next post: Saturday I will outline some of the games flaws and what can be done to fix them....

*=http://www.dolphinsim.com/~andy/ncaa_fb/